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Is it good to complete reliance on $100 billion valuation NPCI, our nation’s one and only digital payment company ?

Abhishek012

TF Pioneer
Is it good to complete reliance on $100 billion valuation NPCI, our nation’s one and only digital payment company ?

Complete reliance on one entity to support an entire country’s digital payments infrastructure can be a concern.


National Payments Corporation of India (NPCI) could be called India’s very own fintech, proudly being showcased to the rest of the world. It was among the two Indian companies featured in the TIME 100 Most Influential Companies list for 2023.

While Unified Payments Interface (UPI) and RuPay card network are its flagship products, the homegrown Immediate Payment Service (IMPS), National Financial Switch (NFS), Bharat Interface for Money (BHIM), Bharat Bill Payment System (BBPS), National Automated Clearing House (NACH), and Aadhaar Enabled Payment System (AePS), have changed how India Inc deals with money.

NPCI continuously invests in technology upgradation, maintenance, advertisements, research, product innovation, and all of this are managed through internal accruals or net profits that it accrues every year. It closed FY23 with a whopping ₹828 crore in net profit, making it one of most profitable Indian fintechs.

Yet, it continues to operate as a non-profit for its objective of ‘public good’ and bringing more people into the formal economy. NPCI’s core idea is to push digital payments and financial inclusion.

But should it rethink its strategy for a larger good? “UPI is free but NPCI is still making money, so the business model is profitable and only increasing with the addition of RuPay cards and other products,” said a senior payments industry official, while asking why banks should bear the cost of UPI transactions despite NPCI’s strong financials.

V Balasubramanian, CEO, FSS, has a different take. “Only 200 million people are using digital means of transacting money. If another 800 million have to be brought into the fold, we need to subsidise.”

Clearly, monetisation of the payments infrastructure is a thorny subject with no clear answer, and continues to be a struggle for NPCI and private players alike.

Conversion

Set up in collaboration with Indian Banks’ Association (IBA), NPCI was promoted by 10 banks, including State Bank of India, Punjab National Bank, Citibank, Bank of Baroda, and HSBC. In 2016, the shareholding was broad-based to 56 member banks,following which in 2020 new entities including Payment Service Operators, payment banks and Small Finance Banks were inducted.

Its monopolistic nature has encouraged conversations around its ability to solely control the market, tweak market requirements as per its requirements and push indigenous products.

After the central bank informally scrapped the plan for a new umbrella entity citing lack of “innovative or different applications”, private players, in hushed voices, will tell you that the lack of an independent holding or supervisory organisation means that NPCI wields “too much” power, leading to the absence of healthy competition, with no level-playing in the payments arena.

Innovation takes time. Established in 2008, NPCI started operations only in 2010 and launched UPI in 2016. The industry is of the view, that to get to the next level, participation from private players must be encouraged and supported, for instance, through structures such as NUE (New Umbrella Entity).

Complete reliance on one entity to support an entire country’s digital payments infrastructure can be a concern. NPCI is registered as National Critical Infrastructure, which entails emphasis on cyber risk mitigation, monitoring overseas traffic, and constant oversight by the NPCI board and RBI. The UPI network processed a record 1,141 crore crore transactions in October 2023 worth ₹17.16-lakh crore, across 33 crore unique users and close to 400 participating banks. The contribution of UPI transactions in total digital transactions by volume increased from 4 per cent in FY18 to 52 per cent in FY22.

UPI transactions grew at a CAGR of 163 per cent between FY18 and FY23 in terms of value and 56 per cent in terms of volume. RuPay has grown exponentially at an annualised rate of about 40 per cent in FY17-FY22.

“Overnight, a PSU navratna can become a headache, which we have seen in the past,” said a source, adding that the entity’s future also depends on legacy and management.

Dilip Asbe, who has helmed the CEO position at NPCI since 2017, is recognised by peers and industry participants as a visionary, who is driven and aggressive about innovating and growing the organisation. Yet, given its scale and criticality, the payments giant needs to have succession management in place if Asbe’s good work is to be continued. That’s missing at present.

Public good

From NPCI’s perspective, ‘non-profit’ tag makes sense because an open market may also lead to capitalist and profit concerns of private players over-riding the government’s objectives of encouraging digital payments and financial inclusion at free or affordable costs for all citizens.

But, NPCI still has some ground to clear for a larger global acceptance, especially for UPI and RuPay. “How many countries issue RuPay cards? In India, you can build a majority product with government backing, but you have to let private players come in to be able to build that global scale,” said a senior payments expert, who did not want to be named.

Business strategy

RuPay has secured the third spot in terms of market share for debit cards-in-force. It is also looking to grow in the credit card market, by tying up with major bank and non-bank issuers. Adoption is being driven by benefits offered through value-added features such as linking of RuPay credit cards on UPI and issuance of RuPay prepaid forex cards overseas. About 25 per cent of all new credit card issuances are on the RuPay network. At present, of the over 30 crore UPI users, only 2.5-3.0 crore are credit card holders, even though 52 per cent of UPI customers are credit-active.

NPCI has grand plans such as to garner 10 per cent market share in monthly credit card spends, compared to the current 1 per cent share, which could translate to ₹1,300-1,500 crore of transactions.

Profitability conversations are then expected to arise once the government decides the NPCI has achieved or covered significant ground on its goals, garnered enough valuation (least $100 billion) and can be converted to a ‘Navratna’ and/or be listed on the exchanges.

If this is the end objective, perhaps some competition from India’s private sector could help – the way it worked for banks, power-generating companies and steel manufactures. Balasubramanian is confident that NPCI, too, will shed the benevolence tag. But may be over the next 10-20 years. “We aren’t there yet,”.
 
The greed of NPCI regarding MDR on Rupay CC-UPI is killing CC-UPI even before it became common. Most traders have deactivated acceptance of CC-UPI payment
The non-availability of any easy end-user based option to deactivate AePS from banking app is leading to frequent frauds.
 

Abhishek012

TF Pioneer
The greed of NPCI regarding MDR on Rupay CC-UPI is killing CC-UPI even before it became common. Most traders have deactivated acceptance of CC-UPI payment
The non-availability of any easy end-user based option to deactivate AePS from banking app is leading to frequent frauds.
I dnt think so 80%-90% small merchants disabled/deactivated acceptance of CC-UPI payment.

NPCI disabled the CC-UPI payment for those who dnt signup/setup or activate yet for CC-UPI payment.

Currently, there is a bug CC-UPI payment work on debit-UPI network.

NPCI work with banks, payment companies to disabled CC-UPI payment acceptance on debit-UPI network. That's why day by day CC-UPI payment merchants are decreasing.

Once NPCI fully live with CC-UPI payment within next 2 years then NPCI, banks, fintech companies will invest money for merchant acquiring to accept CC-UPI payment.

MDR is not high for small merchants and also under 2k is free. They will also negotiate with traders in future to reduce MDR to only 1% for small payments.

99% Indians just need orgasam, they dnt have patience, They don't know how a business runs.

That's why they keep saying anything and posting news articles and people also believe in them.

We gave 7 years to Debit-UPI network, right ? Now give the next 7 years to CC-UPI payment and then you will see the magic. :D:D
 

Abhishek012

TF Pioneer
Banks turn deaf ears towards any issues related to NPCI products - whether it be UPI or AePS. They have limited access to solve the problems of UPI failure or unauthorised AePS transaction. In a way they are helpless and tied.
Its depend on banks and also depend on Debit-UPI or Credit-UPI.

Debit-UPI now working perfectly, if you use all big banks (except SBI) or other small private banks too. Failed UPI payment will auto reversed within max 3 to 5 bank working days (this is max time, normally we got refund within 24-48hrs).

Debit-UPI has integrated with UDIR system too, instantly reverse 80%-90% UPI payment if complaint registered on UPI UDIR system.

Here more details -

 

karanssh

TF Premier
Contributor
VIP Lounge
We cannot say that NPCI has a monopoly on payments in India. Additionally, we are not entirely reliant on it.

Yes, it is amazing technology that we have, and it is true that it has the largest share of transactions and maybe soon volume too, but when it comes transaction sizes, legacy processors like Visa, MC, Amex are still quite ahead.
 

Abhishek012

TF Pioneer
We cannot say that NPCI has a monopoly on payments in India. Additionally, we are not entirely reliant on it.

Yes, it is amazing technology that we have, and it is true that it has the largest share of transactions and maybe soon volume too, but when it comes transaction sizes, legacy processors like Visa, MC, Amex are still quite ahead.
NPCI is an umbrella organization in India.

Visa, MC, Amex, Diners Club etc operates under NPCI.

Mostly all card network transactions in India settled by NPCI.

Our India's ATM/NFS network operated by NPCI. Visa, MC, Amex, Diners Club etc linked with ATM/NFS network in India.

When I have written in the title of the article that NPCI's valuation could be $100 billion, where is it coming from ?

NPCI is operate retail payments and settlement systems in India.

There is a plan to develop domestic POS network, If this happens then NPCI will be its owner.

I read an article on economic times, The head of Visa card India had said that if this happens then like the ATM network, Visa's POS business will be closed in India because Visa POS transaction will work on India's domestic POS network.

As an Indian, I will be very happy if this happens :ROFLMAO::ROFLMAO: because many countries already have their own domestic ATM, POS, Ecom network and Visa, MC etc linked with domestic ATM, POS, Ecom networks but but but which is written in the article "Complete reliance on one entity to support an entire country’s digital payments infrastructure can be a concern".

We really need another organization like NPCI.
 

asahi

TF Premier
Rupay network will Dominate Indian Market by 2029 or before. Visa & Mc will keep on protesting. Can NPCI handle domestic traffic & also international traffic if they decided to go full throttle on expansion of Rupay Network across the globe?. What if govt changes in 2024 what effects it shows on NPCI growth?. I think international ambitions will be curbed if there’s a change in govt. What are the possibilities of New payment instruments from NPCI?. What more can be done in upi & rupay?. What will be the future of Visa MC & Amex
 
Still do not understand why NPCI prohibits banks from providing any easy end-user based option to deactivate AePS from banking app. If the customer does not want it, why they cannot simply deactivate it easily. Why force it down their throat and facilitate frauds.
 

Abhishek012

TF Pioneer
Rupay network will Dominate Indian Market by 2029 or before. Visa & Mc will keep on protesting. Can NPCI handle domestic traffic & also international traffic if they decided to go full throttle on expansion of Rupay Network across the globe?. What if govt changes in 2024 what effects it shows on NPCI growth?. I think international ambitions will be curbed if there’s a change in govt. What are the possibilities of New payment instruments from NPCI?. What more can be done in upi & rupay?. What will be the future of Visa MC & Amex
UPI handle all domestic traffic & also international traffic. UPI's current servers can handle 10 times more traffic than now, NPCI also running 3 parallel servers for UPI from different locations in India, If one goes down, the 2nd will take over or if both servers go down then 3rd one will take over.

RuPay – NPCI has already upgraded their RuPay servers and they will do so in future also.
 

Abhishek012

TF Pioneer
Still do not understand why NPCI prohibits banks from providing any easy end-user based option to deactivate AePS from banking app. If the customer does not want it, why they cannot simply deactivate it easily. Why force it down their throat and facilitate frauds.
What happen bro ? AePS already implement otp based authentication + recently release a circular for implementation of face authentication on AePS transaction.
 

Abhishek012

TF Pioneer
Please provide link for OTP based authentication for AEPS
NPCI release a circular. I read it some time ago.

AePS also release online fraud complaint system, chargeback system, instant money withdraw sms alert/notification on app etc.

AePS also implement two-factor authentication (2FA) for agent login, also implement some limits on AePS transaction + daily 5 withdrawal etc.

Note - Release a circular does not mean that it gets implemented. Banks takes lot of time, sometimes it will take upto 2 to 5 years to implement on their system.
 
What happen bro ? AePS already implement otp based authentication + recently release a circular for implementation of face authentication on AePS transaction.
why not simply give the end customer the freedom to decide whether he wants to permit AePS based txn or not? when such simple option can be given for foreign txn & e-commerce, why should the customer not get this option for AePS? why force it down the throat of a customer?
Or is it because NPCI is aware that given the option 99% of the customer would disable it and then the head of the NPCI cannot get political mileage out of it?
 
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